In this report, Richard A. Ciccarone, President Emeritus of Merritt Research Services, an Investortools Company, examines the potential risks facing large U.S. cities whose property tax revenue is heavily concentrated among a small number of top taxpayers, particularly in the wake of COVID-19’s impact on downtown commercial real estate. The report explores whether a “Long Covid” scenario, characterized by persistently elevated vacancy rates and reduced occupancy, could trigger assessment appeals, lower tax revenues, and force cities to shift the burden onto other taxpayers or face shortfalls.
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